mortgage update denver colorado

The Housing Market Update
Plum Creek Funding Inc
06/10/2013

New Home Sales to Increase Even With Higher Rates:

The housing recovery is on a normal trajectory and gradual increases in interest rates won’t slow it down, according to Home Builder Lennar CEO Stuart Miller.

With interest rates at historic lows, Miller expects that as rates move up, slight increases “are not going to stop the progress forward” of the housing recovery. “Housing continues to find its rebound and gain strength,” he said. “Over the past five years we have under-constructed for a growing household formation that has been stymied by economic downdrafts.”

Miller estimates that the country needed 1.25 million to 1.5 million homes per year over the past few years, but instead only about 500,000 homes were constructed. “We’re going to have to catch back up in order to serve the needs of a growing population,” he said. “We have to make up for the deficit we’ve had in the past years.”

The key force is a tight supply of housing exacerbated by a lack of land availability, he said. “What you’re seeing with the builders is an inability to really get the land that we need to be able to build the homes to meet the demand,” he said. “So you have inventories that are very, very low, and that is driving prices up.”

Miller also said that the cost of commodities for builders is a “mixed bag” and that prices of homes are rising faster than costs. “I don’t think you can read a lot from costs,” he said, adding that although costs of raw materials are going down, other factors, like labor, are getting more expensive.

“We’re starting to see a real recovery in housing that is not likely to be pulled back,” he said.

What Happened to Rates Last Week?

colorado mortgage rates

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -55 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which caused 30 year fixed mortgage rates to move upward for the sixth straight week. We had our highest mortgage rates on Friday and our lowest rates on Monday morning.

Manufacturing, as measured by the ISM Index contracted but offsetting that was an expansion in the servicing sector which represents 2/3 of our economy. But last week was all about jobs data and on Friday, we received the much anticipated Non-Farm Payroll Report. Economists were expecting a reading around 170K but traders had been trading at levels that would be reflective of a 150K range. So, when Non-Farm Payrolls came in at a better than expected 175K, MBS sold off which erased the small gains that we had for the week and drove mortgage rates higher for the sixth straight week.

What to Watch Out For This Week:

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.

colorado home loans

I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises.

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

mortgage broker denverVince Reece
Senior Loan Officer
Office: 303-840-0966
Cell: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134
www.coloradomortgageguy.com

mortgage update denver colorado

The Housing Market Update
Plum Creek Funding Inc
06/03/2013

Pending Home Sales Surge Over 10%:

The National Association of Realtors reported that signed contracts to purchase a home increased 10.3% from this time a year ago. These are called “Pending Home Sales” because there is a signed contract but the home has not closed yet. On a month-over-month basis, Pending Home Sales increased 0.3%.

Sales Prices continue to shoot up and the number of Pending Home Sales would have increased even more if it wasn’t for a huge shortage in available quality inventory.

“The housing market continues to have gains from already very positive conditions. Pending contracts so far this year easily correspond to higher closed home sales in 2013,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the Realtors.

“Because of inventory shortages, higher home sales will push up home values to the highest level in five years,” Yun said, adding that the national median existing-home price should increase close to 8 percent and exceed $190,000 in 2013.

There are also fewer distressed homes for sale. Banks have been doing more aggressive loan modifications, and some banks are reportedly holding foreclosed homes off the market, as home prices continue to rise.

What Happened to Rates Last Week?

colorado mortgage rates

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -108 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which caused 30 year fixed mortgage rates to move upward for the fourth straight week. We had our highest mortgage rates on Friday and our lowest rates on Thursday.

We had another very volatile week with large swings in MBS pricing. MBS continued to be pressured by growing sentiment that the Federal Reserve would begin to decrease the amount of monthly purchases of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae mortgage backed securities. The Fed is such a larger purchaser of these MBS that a pull-back in their monthly purchases would dramatically impact demand and traders are trying to front-run this pull-back.

We also had some very good economic reports. As our economy grows, bonds sell off. Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Consumer Confidence were all very strong and caused mortgage rates to rise. GDP was revised downward from 2.5% to 2.4% but it didn’t materially impact rates.

What to Watch Out For This Week:

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.

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I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises.

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

mortgage broker denverVince Reece
Senior Loan Officer
Office: 303-840-0966
Cell: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134
www.coloradomortgageguy.com

mortgage update denver colorado

The Housing Market Update
Plum Creek Funding Inc
05/28/2013

Home Prices Jump Most in Seven Years:

U.S. single-family home prices rose in March, racking up their best annual gain in nearly seven years as the housing recovery continues to provide a source of strength for the economy, a closely watched survey showed on Tuesday.

The S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas gained 1.1 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, topping economists’ forecasts for 1 percent. Prices in the 20 cities jumped 10.9 percent year over year, beating expectations for 10.2 percent and the biggest increase since April 2006.

All 20 cities covered by the index saw yearly gains for the third month in a row. Average prices in March were back at their late-2003 levels.

For the first quarter of this year, the seasonally adjusted national index rose 3.9 percent, stronger than the 2.4 percent gain that was seen in the final quarter of last year.

What Happened to Rates Last Week?

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Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -83 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which caused 30 year fixed mortgage rates to move upward for the third straight week. We had our highest mortgage rates on Friday and our lowest rates on Tuesday.

We had a very volatile week with large swings in MBS pricing. We traded in a very large range with a -166 BPS range between our highs and lows. Bonds (which include MBS) sold off on much better than expected Existing and New Home Sales, Initial Jobless Claims and Durable Goods Orders. So, mortgage rates were on a higher path last week.

But that was amplified by Ben Bernanke’s statements on Wednesday. As he discussed the potential to scale back on monthly MBS purchases if conditions continued to improve. Then, later that day, the minutes from the last FOMC meeting were released and it became clear that there is some discussion at the Fed of pulling back on MBS purchases as early as June. This caused bonds to sell off and pushed mortgage rates higher.

What to Watch Out For This Week:

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.

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I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises.

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

mortgage broker denverVince Reece
Senior Loan Officer
Office: 303-840-0966
Cell: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134
www.coloradomortgageguy.com

mortgage update denver colorado

The Housing Market Update
Plum Creek Funding Inc
05/13/2013

Fannie Mae Profit Points to Growing Housing Market:

Remember Fannie Mae? They and Freddie Mac were both placed into receivership because they were loosing so much money but had to remain open because if they shut down there would be no mechanism to make and securitize mortgages to the vast majority of Americans.

Well, Fannie Mae is baaaaaack, posting it largest profit ever. Yes that’s right, they posted a bigger profit than even at the height of the housing boom.

Mortgage giant Fannie Mae has now been turning a profit for more than a year. In fact, it has turned record a profit: $8.1 billion in its latest quarter.

With Fannie Mae and its smaller cohort, Freddie Mac, turning so much profit, the push to dismantle them becomes far more complicated. Unlike several years ago, they are now making the government money at the same time that the feds considered winding them down.

The chief beneficiary of Fannie’s newly discovered riches is none other than the federal government—the same entity that bailed it out at the height of the financial panic nearly five years ago. Fannie Mae will pay the Treasury $59 billion by the end of this quarter, bringing its total tally of dividend payments to $95 billion—close to the $117 billion it originally drew.

Now that Fannie and Freddie are on solid footing again, they can begin to loosen up underwriting standards. But this time it will be small and responsible adjustments. Still, relaxing the guidelines even just a little could open the door for many potential new homebuyers that have been kept of out of the market.

What Happened to Rates Last Week?

denver new home loan

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -89 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which caused 30 year fixed mortgage rates to move upward for the second straight week. We had our highest mortgage rates on Friday and our lowest rates on Thursday morning.

We traded in a very thin range for the majority of the week as MBS were trapped in a narrow trading channel that saw very small daily movements (+1 to -7BPS) from Monday through Thursday. There were very few economic releases. The biggest report to hit the wires was Thursday’s weekly Initial Jobless Claims which were lighter than expected. This was good news for the economy and pressured bonds slightly. We had a 10 year Treasury auction which saw a pull back in demand but it really didn’t impact MBS pricing by the end of the day.

MBS really sold off on Friday, in the absence of any economic data. When MBS sell off, mortgage rates rise.

Why did they sell off? There were several reasons but lets focus on the two largest factors: First, the Treasury Secretary stated that we would not hit our debt ceiling again until later than the market had projected. Remember, MBS are trading higher than normal (better rates for you) due to fear and uncertainty about our debt. The fact that our deficit is doing better than expected is a negative for our bonds because it means that Congress will put off solving our larger issues longer.

Secondly, the Yen has absolutely tanked and that has made investment in other foreign markets more attractive than in the U.S.

What to Watch Out For This Week:

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.

home loan highlands ranch

I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises.

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

mortgage broker denverVince Reece
Senior Loan Officer
Office: 303-840-0966
Cell: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134
www.coloradomortgageguy.com

mortgage update denver colorado

The Housing Market Update
Plum Creek Funding Inc

New Foreclosures Plummet:

New Foreclosure filings drop 22%.

The housing market is improving, no question. Home prices are rising, interest rates are low, inventory levels have fallen and fewer borrowers are falling behind on their mortgage payments. All of this helped to temporarily put a curb on new foreclosure filings by banks in October (the most recent data published).

Lender Processing Services reported that the decline also has to do with changes in mortgage servicing that went into effect in September under the $25 billion mortgage settlement. Servicers are now required to give borrowers a 14-day notice in writing before referring a loan for foreclosures. Those letters began going out in September.

Another reason for the drop in new foreclosures may be a surge in loan modifications involving principal reduction. These are also mandated by the mortgage servicing settlement. Principal reduction modifications jumped 62 percent from October to November.

Regardless of the reason, the fewer homes on the market at depressed prices, the better it is for the housing market.

What Happened to Rates Last Week?

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Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -40 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which caused 30 year fixed mortgage rates to move higher. We had our highest mortgage rates on Friday and our lowest rates on Wednesday.

We had a mixed bag of economic data last week:
The ISM Manufacturing Index (representing 1/3 of our economy) was much weaker than expected and showed contraction in that sector. However, the ISM Services Index (representing 2/3 of our economy) was much stronger than expected showing economic expansion. Private Payrolls were weaker than expected but the Unemployment Rate and the more closely watched Non-Farm Payrolls data was better than market expectations.

MBS sold off Friday morning on the strength of Non-Farm Payrolls report which gave us our highest mortgage rates of the week.

What to Watch Out For This Week:

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.

colorado va mortgage

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

mortgage broker denverVince Reece
Senior Loan Officer
Office: 303-840-0966
Cell: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134
www.coloradomortgageguy.com

Home Prices Increase Again:

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Single-family home prices rose more than expected in May according to the new release of the Standard and Poor’s/Case Chiller home price index.

The 20-city composite price index rose 0.5% in May and April was upwardly revised to an increase of 0.6%.  Economists had been expecting a smaller gain in the range of 0.2%.  While these monthly increases appear small, they do indicate a trend towards housing stability after the bottom in 2009.  The index showed a 4.5% increase on a year-over-year basis and it is the 14th straight month of improvement in this report.

What Happened to Rates Last Week:
mortgage denver

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +66 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to decrease for both government and conventional loans.  The gains in mortgage backed securities (the only thing 30 year conventional mortgage rates are based on) were the result of concerns about the stability of our economic recovery.  While we had a week of stronger than expected housing data across the board, the market reacted to a lower than expected economic growth rate (GDP) and deflationary concerns. 

What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week.  They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.  I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

home loans denver

Contact Colorado Mortgage Guy
Plum Creek Funding, Inc.
303-818-0699 (Cell)
303-840-0966 (Office)
877-840-0965 (Fax)
www.coloradomortgageguy.com
www.plumcreekfunding.com
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E. Parker Square Dr. Parker, CO 80134

Be prepared to slash prices if you want to sell

In today’s market, you have to price aggressively if you expect to attract multiple offers.
By Amy Hoak of MarketWatch

With no federal tax credit to entice buyers, today’s home sellers have to get even more serious about making a deal.

colorado real estate

That means pricing aggressively — low enough to compete with foreclosures in some markets. It’s a conversation that stings, said Summer Greene, a real-estate agent for a Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate brokerage office in Fort Lauderdale, Fla.

“It’s like telling them that their children are ugly,” she said.

Shopping for a Mortgage Colorado?

Many people with homes on the market already are slashing prices to catch buyers’ attention. Twenty-four percent of listings on the market as of July 1 had gone through at least one price reduction — that’s a 9% increase from the previous month, according to the most recent data from Trulia.com, a real-estate listings website.

Price cuts are more prevalent in some markets than others, and the average size of the cut varies, too. In Minneapolis, for example, 40% of the listings had at least one reduction and the average reduction was 9% of the listing price. In Las Vegas, 12% of the homes had price cuts, but the reductions averaged 15% off the listing price.

Colorado Mortgage Guy will shop for the best mortgage rates for your Denver home loan

Reducing their price is one way sellers are trying to weather the “tax-credit hangover” now affecting the country, said Tara Nelson, consumer educator for Trulia.com. Slashing the price is the one thing a seller can do these days to attract attention.

“There’s just not a whole lot of incentive right now for buyers to urgently buy,” Nelson said. Mortgage rates have been relatively low for a while, so buyers aren’t concerned they’ll miss that window, and inventory has been creeping up since April, she said. To be eligible for the homebuyer tax credit, buyers needed to have a contract on a house by April 30.

Brought to you by:

Colorado Mortgage Guy
Plum Creek Funding
Office: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134

www.coloradomortgageguy.com
www.plumcreekfunding.com

Foreclosure Rates Fall Again:
U.S. foreclosure rates fell for the third straight month according to RealtyTrac’s new report.  New foreclosure fillings in June dropped 2.81 percent from the previous month and 6.98 percent from the previous year.

While foreclosure rates are falling, they are still at high levels with 16 straight months of readings of over 300,000.  Still 410 out of every 411 homes are not in foreclosure, so there is still some strength in the housing market.

Consumer Prices Continue to Fall:
Consumer Prices fell for the third straight month, providing bargains for American Shoppers.

The Consumer Price Index, the government’s most closely watched inflation barometer, dipped 0.1 percent in June, according to the Labor Department. Less expensive energy bills were a big factor behind the drop. Prices for food items and airline fares also dropped last month.  Also, “core” consumer prices are holding near a 44 year low.

What Happened to Rates Last Week:
mortgage rate colorado

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +44 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to decrease for both government and conventional loans.  Rate declined on the back of some weaker than expected economic data.  Manufacturing Data, Consumer Price Index and Consumer Sentiment all were much worse than market expectations.  Economic concerns helped to push investors towards purchasing MBS as a way to earn low yields in exchange for safety that you cannot find in the stock markets.

What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week.  They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.  I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
mortgage rates denver

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets.  Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Contact Colorado Mortgage Guy
Plum Creek Funding, Inc.
303-818-0699 (Cell)
303-840-0966 (Office)
877-840-0965 (Fax)
www.coloradomortgageguy.com
www.plumcreekfunding.com
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com
19519 E. Parker Square Dr. Parker, CO 80134

Why are so many people listing their houses now?
Once the tax credit expired (new contracts had to signed by April 30th) everyone expected that listings would go down.  But they haven’t…they have gone up.  With all of the negative media attention on housing it would be easy to consider that it is because the sellers are distressed in some way.  Maybe they lost their job or they are trying to sell the home before it goes into foreclosure.

But here is the real reason why listings are up:  Interest rates are at an all-time low.  Despite the constant bombardment of negative media coverage, the vast majority of existing homeowners are very credit worthy, live within their means and have stable income.  Experienced homeowners have seen interest rates in the 5’s, 6’s, and 7’s in the last several years.  And those that have owned homes for longer have seen double-digit interest rates.  So, they know that when interest rates are at an all time low – it is time to make a move.

The idea is that if they were ever going to move to a different school district, move up or down in size, etc. now is the time to do it.  Sure, they might get a little less for their house this year compared to what they might sell it for a couple of years down the road but that is more than offset by the huge savings in mortgage and interest payments.

This means that homebuyers also have attractive interest rates which is another good time to sell, because more people buy when interest rates are low.  Buyers are a little slower to “pull the trigger” on a sales contract because there is moderate amount of inventory around.  But many of these potential homebuyers already missed out on the tax credit window because they thought the government would keep extending it or maybe they just weren’t ready to enter the market yet.  Regardless that window of opportunity has shut.  Don’t miss this even bigger window of opportunity!

Mortgage rates can make a right turn at any second.  Mortgage rates are not low because of anything that the Federal Reserve, Treasury, or Obama administration is currently doing.  Mortgage rates are low because of global fear about the economy and financial system.  This causes banks and investors to hoard their cash and park it into nice, safe and boring mortgage backed securities.  You earn a very low interest rate in return for safety.  But the financial markets and the global economy will turn around, and when it does it will move mortgage rates up with it.
 
What Happened to Rates Last Week:
mortgage rates denver colorado

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +19 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to decrease for both government and conventional loans.  Rate declined on fears of a U.S. double-dip recession.  Economic concerns help to push investors towards purchasing MBS as a way to earn low yields in exchange for safety that you cannot find in the stock markets.

What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week.  They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.  I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

home loan denver colorado

Brought to you by:

Plum Creek Funding
Office: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com

19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134

www.coloradomortgageguy.com
www.plumcreekfunding.com

Tips: How to compare Colorado mortgage loans

You need to know four important features to shop for a Denver Colorado mortgage:

The term. Some mortgages have fixed rates for the entire term, some have variable rates that can change monthly or yearly, and others have a fixed rate for a certain number of years followed by a variable rate.
The rate. You’ll want to know the interest rate and the annual percentage rate (APR). The APR adds in points, fees and certain other charges, all expressed as a yearly rate to help you compare loans. If the rate is variable, ask how often it can change and how high your payments could go.

The points. A “point” is 1% of a mortgage. Typically, the more points the borrower pays, the lower the interest rate. But if you plan to sell in just a few years, you won’t recoup the upfront cost.

The fees. These may include origination or underwriting fees, broker fees, transaction costs and closing costs. Many reputable lenders will give you the estimate in advance. In any case, many of the fees are negotiable. Interest rates for a “no cost” or “no fee” mortgage will be higher. Fees are not always the same as closing costs.

Brought to you by:

Vince Reece
Colorado Mortgage Guy
Plum Creek Funding
Office: 303-818-0699
vince@coloradomortgageguy.com

19519 E Parker Square Dr
Parker, CO 80134

www.coloradomortgageguy.com
www.plumcreekfunding.com